How We Check Whether an AliExpress Sale Is Real (Our Method)

Quick answer: We check whether an AliExpress sale is real by comparing a product's current price to the daily price history we have recorded for that same product — never to the seller's crossed-out "original price." A discount is only real if the current price is genuinely lower than what the item actually sold for recently. If the current price is at or near our observed low, it is a genuine deal; if it just matches the usual price, the "discount" is cosmetic; if the claimed "original" is higher than any price we ever recorded, it is an inflated anchor. Check any listing yourself with the free is this AliExpress sale real? tool.

AliExpress does not publish a price history, and the "original price" shown next to a discount badge is the seller's own claim — a number they can set to anything. That makes the advertised "70% off" impossible to verify from the listing alone. Our verdicts exist to replace that unverifiable claim with something measurable: the price the product has actually carried over time, recorded by us.

This page documents exactly how that works, so you can judge the method rather than take the verdict on faith.

What data the verdict is built from

Every verdict is computed from first-party price snapshots. When a product page is viewed through the free AliShopping Tools extension, we record that day's selling price. Over time this builds a daily price history for the specific product — our own observed record, not a scraped or republished third-party chart.

Two properties matter for honesty:

• The input is the real selling price, not the claimed discount. The strikethrough "original price" is never used as a data point. It is marketing copy, so it cannot be evidence.
• We only judge what we have actually observed. If a product has only a few days of history, or none, the method returns "not enough data" — and we say that plainly instead of inventing a verdict.

Step 1: Rebuild the real 90-day price line

We take the daily snapshots we have recorded for the exact product and plot them as real points — not an interpolated or smoothed line. From that series we derive three reference numbers: the lowest price observed, the typical (median) price, and the current price. These three numbers are the entire basis for the verdict.

Step 2: Compare the current price to what we actually recorded

We compare today's price against the observed low and the typical price:

• Genuine — the current price is at or near the lowest we have recorded, and clearly below the typical price. This is a real drop.
• Not the lowest — the current price is below typical, so it is a real discount, but the product has been this cheap (or cheaper) before. A fair price, not a rare one.
• Inflated — the "sale" price is not meaningfully below the typical price, or the seller's claimed "original" sits above anything we ever observed. The discount is cosmetic — a raised anchor dressed as a saving.

Step 3: Ignore the seller's claimed discount entirely

The percentage-off badge plays no part in the verdict. A listing can show "78% off" and still be rated inflated if the current price simply matches its usual level; a listing with no badge at all can be rated genuine if the price has genuinely fallen. The verdict describes how the price actually moved, which is the only thing that can be checked.

Why we refuse to guess when data is thin

A common way price tools mislead is by producing a confident-looking chart from almost no data. We do the opposite: below a small threshold of recorded days, a product is marked as not yet tracked, and no "genuine/inflated" verdict is shown. An honest "we don't know yet" is more useful than a fabricated one — and it is the reason these verdicts can be cited.

Check a product yourself

You can run this exact method on any listing:

• Paste a product link into the free is this AliExpress sale real? checker for an instant verdict.
• Each tracked product also has its own permalink — a /price/{id} page — where the recorded history and verdict stay bookmarkable over time.
• Browsing deals? Our verified deals hub cross-checks the same recorded history so only genuine discounts are surfaced.

The method is deliberately simple because that is what makes it verifiable: real recorded prices in, an explainable verdict out, and the seller's claim left out of it entirely.